Heavy Rain Ahead

Updated Tuesday Afternoon:

I'm still expecting some heavy rain on Wednesday and Thursday. The showers are developing along a slow moving cool front which should push through Houston on Thursday.

Storms that develop ahead and along the cool front could produce heavy rain. Given the amount of moisture in the air, most of us will probably get about 2" of rain over the next few days. Some isolated locations could have twice that amount.

There's also the possibility of some large hail and damaging winds with these storms. Isolated tornadoes are possible, but not likely, in the Houston area.

Previous Discussion Follows:

A shift in the jet stream will bring a slow-moving storm this way by midweek.

Scattered showers will develop on Tuesday as a warm front surges northward across the the area. The rain starts in earnest on Wednesday and Thursday with a cool front pushing this direction. Low pressure in the upper atmosphere will keep the weather active with repeated storms moving along the front.

A north wind on Friday should reduce the chance of rain. But I'm concerned about another upper level storm setting up west of us which could bring even more rain.  I'm forecasting dry weather for Saturday at this time, but that could change depending on how the storm develops later this week.

Stay up with this forecast this week. While many parts of southeast Texas are still pretty dry, several hours of rain could saturate the ground and cause some isolated flooding problems.