Weekend rainfall amounts

A slow moving storm dumped 4-6" of rain across parts of southeast Texas this past weekend. Radar estimates show the heaviest rain fell across central Harris County.

Our FutureTrack correctly forecast the timing of the rain and the maximum rain totals. However, we expected more rain near the coast. Only .81" of rain fell at Scholes Field in Galveston. That's partly because the secondary low on Sunday tracked east of Galveston which produced heavy rain in the Beaumont area and throughout southern Louisiana.

We're incorporating some new model physics in our FutureTrack forecasting system. I'm fairly happy with how the model performed with this storm. My goal is to consistently and accurately forecast when the rain will start, when it will stop, how much will fall and where the heaviest rain will fall. We're almost there.